Psychologie du Trading-Forex

Les facteurs fondamentaux et techniques sont incroyablement essentiels pour bien déterminer
la dynamique de toutes les devises.

Il y a, cependant, deux facteurs additionnels qui sont primordiaux à comprendre concernant les mouvements à court terme sur le marché. Ce sont les prévisions et les sentiments. Ils peuvent être semblables, mais restent distincts. Les prévisions sont formées avant la publication des statistiques économiques et des données financières. Prêter seulement l'attention aux chiffres publiés ne suffit pas pour prévoir le futur cours d'une devise. Si, par exemple, le PIB des USA sortait à 7 % mais 5% dans le quart précédent, alors le dollar ne va pas forcément monter. Si les prévisions du marché s'étaient attendues à une croissance de 8%, alors la lecture 7 % pourrait venir comme une déception, de ce fait entraînant une réaction très différente du marché.
Néanmoins, les prévisions ont pu être remplacées par les sentiments du marché. C'est l'attitude régnante du marché vis-à-vis d'un taux de change; ce qui pourrait être un résultat de l'évaluation économique globale vers le pays en question, l'emphase générale du marché, ou d'autres facteurs exogènes. Prenons l'exemple ci-dessus sur le PIB des USA; même si le chiffre de 7 % est en dessous des prévisions, le marché peut ne pas
montrer de réaction. Une raison possible est que le sentiment pourrait être positif pour le dollar indépendamment des chiffres réels et prévus. Ceci pourrait être dû aux marchés des placements des USA, ou aux principes fondamentaux faibles dans la contre- devise (euro, Yens ou sterling). Un terme qui est généralement associé avec le "sentiment" est "psychologie". Pendant les deux premiers mois de 2000, l'euro a subi la pression de vente féroce contre le dollar en dépit d'améliorations constantes des principes fondamentaux dans l'Eurozone. C'est parce que la psychologie du marché avait décidément favorisé des capitaux vers les USA dus aux signes continus de la croissance non-inflationniste, et dus au sentiment que des
accroissements plus ultérieurs des taux d'intérêt des USA fonctionneront dans l'avantage des différentiels de rendement des USA, sans dérailler l'expansion économique.



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FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OF FOREX

One of the dominant debates in the analysis of global financial market is the reliability of the two major analysis: Fundamental and technical.

In the foreign exchange market, several studies have concluded that fundamental analysis was more effective in trends in long-term (longer than a year), while technical analysis was more appropriate for shorter horizons (0-90 days). Combining the two approaches was suggested to be best suited for periods between three months and one year. Nevertheless, further evidence indicates that technical analysis of long-term trends helps
identify waves and longer-term fundamentals that trigger short-term developments. But most traders follow technical analysis because it did not require many hours of study. Technical analysts can follow many currencies at one time. Fundamental analysts, however, tend to specialize due to the overwhelming amount of data on the market. Analysis technique works well because the market tends to develop strong trends. Once the analysis technique is mastered, it can be applied with the same ease as much over time as a currency.

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Forex Technical Analysis

There are two basic approaches to properly analyze the Forex, technical analysis and fundamental analysis. While the technical analyst studies the price movements themselves fundamental analysis focuses on the essential causes of price movements.

A technical analysis is what one uses to try to predict future price movements based on the analysis of certain periods and on reading / understanding of graphics. In technical analysis, there are several interpretations of the models, all are generally based on historical charts of a currency. As long as one realizes the various differences of fundamental and technical analysis, both can be used to parallel one or the other, although both may present different conclusions.

Forex: What is it?

The foreign exchange market, or "Forex" or abbreviated as "FX" is the largest financial market in the world, the daily volume of transactions exceeds 1,000 Billion USDollar is equivalent to 30 times the total of all scholarships in America.

Unlike other financial markets, the forex market has no physical center
or centralized place. It is an OTC market where buyers and sellers (banks,
corporations, private investors, etc. ..) do business. An open market 24/24,
opens each day in Sydney and moves around the globe. Each trading day
begins first in Tokyo, then London and finally New York. Unlike other
financial markets, investors can respond quickly to any time
fluctuations caused by economic, social or political
anytime, day or night. The large number and diversity of
stakeholders make it difficult for government to control the market direction.
The unmatched liquidity and global activity make forex a 24/24 market
ideal for active traders.
Traditionally the forex market was only available to larger
Investors treated the currencies for commercial and institutional
through banks. Now trading platforms, as RTFXTM Pro
allow smaller financial institutions and retail investors access to
same level of liquidity as the major international banks, offering access to
interbank market.
In the forex market, currencies are always priced in pairs. All
transactions resulting simultaneous buying of one currency and selling another.
The goal of treating the foreign exchange market is to change one currency against
another, hoping that the market moves so that the currency you have
purchased from taking the value compared to the one you sold. If you purchased
currency and the price appreciates in value, you must sell the currency for
take your profit. An open position is a currency pair that you either
bought / sold and you have not sold / bought back the equivalent amount to
effectively close the position.
The first currency in the currency pair is referred to as the "base currency"
and the second currency is the counter or quote currency. This means that prices are
expressed as a unit of the first currency quoted per the other currency quoted in the pair
money.
Like all financial products, market quotations of the changes include
"Application" and an "offer". Demand is the price at which a market maker (Realtime
Forex) is willing to buy (and clients can buy) the base currency in exchange
the quote currency. The offer is the price at which a market maker (Realtime Forex) will sell
(Where customers can buy) the base currency in exchange for the quote currency. The
difference between supply and demand is known as the spread.

My experience with trade-forex

Foolishly, I thought a few months ago, it is absolutely impossible for me to finish in the top 20, the yield to 500% I need!

I saw that my only chance was a lever-Max for gold, when money allows.

I'll show you one thing: Last April, I made 759% in just two weeks of negotiations, then how? I calculated how much I had to have a day to get 500% within three weeks of negotiations. Surprise! This percentage does not exceed 10%, and voila, 500% is achieved with the 19-th day.

So I falait 10% every day.

I chose to trade the yen / USD, I was trading on the lever 75, and especially to prevent the lever 100.

My goal was 23 points for the day, on average, 16 days after I stopped on my shot.

RETN lesson: It is not difficult to get into the top 20.

Good day!

Begin Forex

Start Forex - Forex, Forex Trader, Finance

Pip:

A pip is the smallest possible variation on a motto. On the eur / usd, the lowest variation is 0.0001. Indeed, if the EUR / USD moves from 1.2850 to 1.2851, there is a change of 1 pip on the rise. If the GBP / USD moves from 1.9000 to 1.8999, there is a change of 1 pip down. If the USD / CHF 1.2235 to 1.2335 from happening, there is a change of 100 pips.

A pip is slightly different on the usd / jpy, it is 0.01 pip.

When you make a trade on Forex, you have a purchase price (ask) different from the selling price (bid). The difference between purchase price and the selling price is called the spread, it is usually the only remuneration the broker or the price maker. Indeed, the Forex, there is no generally not care expenses, commissions.



Spread:

It's the difference between purchase price and the selling price on an exchange rate. If the price of the EUR / USD is 1.2850 - 1.2853, the purchase price is 1.2853 and the selling price is 1.2850. As a result when you perform a transaction on the forex, it is directly losing 3 pips (more or less depending on your broker).

If you buy the euro at 1.2853 dollars (loser because you are directly selling price is 1.2850) and that the price rises to 1.2863 - 1.2866, 10 pips, you win because you bought at 1.2853 and cut your position with the sale price to 1.2863.



Novice Forex - Forex, Forex Trader, Finance

Sales at 1.2863 (1.2863 Bid - Ask 1.2866)

Buy at 1.2853 (1.2850 Bid - Ask 1.2853)

It is possible to complete a transaction in reverse order starting with selling and cutting its position with a purchase.

If you sell the eur / usd at 1.2850 (you are losing directly because the purchase price is 1.2853) and the price falls to 1.2837 - 1.2840, 10 pips, you win because you sold at 1.2850 and cut your position with the purchase price at 1.2840.



Novice Forex - Forex, Forex Trader, Finance



The volatility is low on forex brokers allow you to use leverage.



Leverage:

The leverage allows the trader to make trades more important than if it used only its initial margin deposit. The broker offers its customer a margin greater than the trader's margin deposit.

If the trader has opened an account with a deposit of 10,000 euros (10 k), and that the broker provides the trader a leverage of 50, then the trader has a margin of EUR 500 000 (500 k). This leverage allows the trader to transact a higher amount. Indeed, the volatility on the foreign exchange market is relatively low, brokers are available to traders leverage.

Without leverage, the trade up would be 10 000 (10k), so with a long position of EUR 10 000 (10k) on the eur / usd at 1.2800 (1.2800 Ask - Bid 1.2797), a change of 103 pips that will take the course at 1.2900 (1.2903 Ask - Bid 12900) would earn the trader $ 100 ($ 1 = 10k/trade / pip).

With a leverage of 50, if the trader goes up purchasing a transaction on the eur / usd 500 000 (500 k) 1.2800 (1.2800 Ask - Bid 1.2797), a change of 103 pips who take her course to 1.2900 (Ask 1.2903 - 1.2900 Bid) would earn the trader $ 5000 (500k/trade = 50 $ / pip).



The trader is of course not obliged to use the maximum leverage offered by his broker! It is the trader to manage risk as leverage can increase its earnings in case of winning trades but also to increase its loss in case of losing trades. So the trader to choose the size of his positions depending on the risks it wishes to take on his portfolio.



Margin deposit margin with lever ---- 50 ---- ---- Trade maximum gain / pip

EUR 2 500 EUR 125 000 ---------- ----------------- --------------- 125K ----- 12.5 $ / pip

EUR 5 000 EUR 250 000 ---------- ----------------- --------------- 250K ----- 25 $ / pip

10 000 500 000 --------- Euro Euro 500 k ---------------- ----------------- --- 50 $ / pip

EUR 50 000 EUR 2 500 000 --------- -------------- ------------------ 2.5 m - $ 250 / pip

EUR 100 000 EUR 5 000 000 -------- -------------- ------------------- 5 m ---- $ 500 / pip

Simple tips to become a successful trader

Being in a quiet room to concentrate
The concentration or decentralization are the main reason for the success or failure of traders. A quiet environment helps concentration. Avoid sources of noise, distractions, concentrate on your graphs. One hour and 20 minutes of concentration poses as a walk and a good night will be profitable.

Trading, and remember to stop work
Consider the forex trading as a job with regular hours. 8 Working with poses is enough. Remember to stop and especially not trade overnight. You better sleep and better your results.

 Learn to be comfortable in your trade
Use a lever to suit your mind. It is not necessary to put his account in danger. Moreover, the size of your position on your impulses and behavior psychology may make you do stupid things. With a short break you'll be able to better respond to your emotional reactions and better manage such a loss.

 Choosing the right graphic indicator
Having a flag and rely on. No need for multiple indicators for success. Select a flag for you. Learn, analyze it and try to understand how he reacts to a trend or a change in trend. Once you discover the secrets of your progress indicator, so come.


the security of your account
Respect your strategy trades, your stoploss, your goals. Get next to you, your codes and phone number of your broker. Put a stoploss and take profit on each input (especially if the internet connection is bad)

Specialize
Specialize yourself on a parity (see the "currency pairs to trade for). As an indicator, each crawling pace. Choose a parity that fits your mind. If you are a beginner, avoid the cable, GBP / JPY. Choose the euro / dollar that moves well but with less volatility.

 Do not play with fire
Do not return before or during a statistic is a statistic. Wait 5 mins to go on the market, so you will avoid getting caught.

You're not a sheep
Avoid advice, do not follow the recommendations to the letter, do you have your own opinion.

Source: www.forex-formation.com



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